Tuesday 18 August 2009

All three of todays runners attracted money, two of them finishing up in midfield and one a short priced winner, fairly typical and relatively easy money for the bookie. At the sort of prices that were on offer, none were value. Overall, selections win about 18%-19%, so 13/8 favourites aren't very attractive, even when they win.




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So how does the bettor go about determining which horse has the best balance of recent form and class? I suppose that there are any number of ways which this can be achieved. Personally I use a mathematical approach to rate each horse in the field using those criteria, then select the highest rated. This approach removes the need for judgement and the associated self-doubt which accompanies it. Whatever method is used, if it is logical and consistent the horse with the current best form/class balance ought to be readily identified, then it's just a question of patience and attacking the overlay when it arises.

Tomorrow two races qualify for closer attention :-

FOLKESTONE

7:20 THETA WAVE

KEMPTON

8:40 SATISFACTION LIFE

THETA WAVE looks like going off favourite or thereabouts, but SATISFACTION LIFE is forecast 12/1 in the Sporting Life so I'll be watching this one closely.

P.



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