UNCLE FRED didn't go today and LORD THEO didn't reach a value price despite drifting from 13/2 to 8/1, The lack of confidence was justified as LORD THEO stumbled coming out of the stalls and was unable to get involved.

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Things are pretty "flat" at the moment. I've never been a believer in luck and lucky streaks, only in pure statistics, but it's at times like this when it's easy to see why people set such store in that elusive factor. From a personal point of view I just sit it out.Tomorrow there are three races which qualify on "number of runners" grounds

Ayr

16:50 EXIT SMILING (10/1)

17:50 GALA CASINO STAR (8/1)

Pontefract

16:30 RAGAMUFFIN MAN (5/1)

EXIT SMILING looks as though it may offer a value bet, possibly even GALA CASINO STAR as well.

P.